
TGT · NYSE
Expected to report Nov 18, 2026 — estimated from last year’s reporting date.
Consensus is $2.04 EPS for Oct 2026 across 13 estimates, ranging $1.71 to $2.46.
Target’s second quarter was a stronger underlying operating print, amplified by a large tariff refund. Net sales rose 5.3% to $26.54 billion and comparable sales increased 3.8%, ahead of the weak year-ago comparison of negative 1.9% and improving from the preceding reported quarter’s $25.44 billion of revenue. Excluding the $1.65 per-share tariff benefit, EPS was $2.46, 20% above the year-ago $2.05 and ahead of the supplied $2.30 consensus by 6.96%. GAAP EPS doubled to $4.11, while operating income climbed 94.4% to $2.56 billion from $1.32 billion a year ago.
The core of the quarter was improving demand and mix: traffic grew 3.6%, digital comparable sales rose 8.7%, same-day delivery increased more than 25%, and all six core categories grew. Underlying gross margin expanded about 100 basis points, helped by easier comparisons and greater advertising and other non-merchandise contribution, although SG&A deleveraged modestly. Target raised full-year sales growth expectations to around 5% and lifted the ex-refund EPS outlook midpoint by $0.75, signaling confidence that the first-half momentum can continue. The reported profit level, however, includes the one-time $994 million pretax refund.
Target’s top line showed a meaningful recovery against last year’s decline, with strength broad-based across channels, demographics, categories and the quarter. The two-year compounded annual sales growth rate accelerated 30 basis points from the prior quarter to 2.1%, suggesting improvement beyond an easy comparison.
The headline earnings increase was dominated by a tariff refund, but the underlying margin trend also improved. Target recognized $994 million pretax as a reduction to cost of sales, equivalent to 3.7 percentage points of gross and operating margin and $1.65 of diluted EPS.
Target raised its outlook after the first-half performance. The new guidance includes the second-quarter refund but excludes any potential future refunds, making the ex-refund comparison the more useful indicator of the underlying change.
The sales recovery was not confined to essentials. Management is pairing value investment with a push into style, design, newness and convenience, and reported growth across the full core assortment.
Target is directing more capital toward the physical network while preserving its dividend and limiting buybacks. The higher investment level is consistent with the company’s emphasis on remodels, new stores and store-enabled fulfillment.