
PLTR · Nasdaq
Expected to report Feb 1, 2027 — estimated from last year’s reporting date.
Consensus is $0.37 EPS for Dec 2026 across 10 estimates, ranging $0.33 to $0.47.
Palantir delivered a sharp acceleration in Q3: revenue grew 96% year over year to $2.313 billion and 20% sequentially, versus $1.181 billion a year ago and $1.94 billion in Q2. GAAP operating income rose to $1.085 billion from $393 million a year ago and $912 million last quarter; net income attributable to common stockholders was $1.128 billion, compared with $476 million and $1.06 billion, respectively. The supplied expectations data says EPS was $0.32 against $0.32 consensus, but the release reports diluted GAAP and adjusted EPS of $0.44, so those EPS figures are inconsistent and do not support a comparable surprise calculation.
The defining shift was U.S. commercial demand: revenue reached $984 million, up 148% year over year and 29% sequentially, for the first time surpassing U.S. government revenue. Commercial momentum also showed up in 79% growth in U.S. commercial remaining deal value, although company-wide TCV bookings grew a more modest 6%. Palantir raised FY2026 revenue guidance to $8.530–$8.534 billion, implying 91% growth, and raised U.S. commercial growth guidance to at least 143%. Margins and cash generation remained substantial, with a 47% GAAP operating margin and $1.216 billion of adjusted free cash flow, alongside $319 million of stock-based compensation in the quarter.
U.S. commercial was the clearest driver of the quarter and a milestone for Palantir: its $984 million of revenue moved ahead of U.S. government revenue for the first time. Management attributed the acceleration to demand for Sovereign AI and faster customer conversion from pilots into larger deployments. It also said some new deals were shorter in duration than usual, with an expectation that contract size and duration may expand as customers adopt more use cases.
Growth was broad across the U.S. business, rather than confined to commercial accounts. U.S. government revenue grew 96% year over year and 18% sequentially to $953 million, supported by existing programs and new awards. The Army awarded Palantir a prime agreement to produce eight TITAN systems, while management cited Maven's continued deployment and availability across the services. International commercial growth was far more measured, underscoring how concentrated the acceleration was in the U.S.
Contract measures pointed to meaningful demand, but did not rise as quickly as revenue. Total TCV bookings increased 6% year over year, while commercial TCV grew 17%; U.S. commercial TCV grew 11%. Management said multiple eight-figure commercial deals were signed on shorter-than-usual durations as customers adopted initial Sovereign AI capabilities. These contract-value measures assume options are exercised and contracts are not terminated, so they are not equivalent to firm revenue commitments.
Profitability expanded alongside rapid growth. GAAP operating income more than doubled year over year, while adjusted operating margin reached 62%. The gap between GAAP and adjusted operating income reflects Palantir's exclusion of stock-based compensation and related employer payroll taxes from its adjusted measure; stock-based compensation alone was $319 million in Q3. Cash generation was strong, with adjusted free cash flow slightly above cash from operations after the company's stated adjustments.
The updated outlook assumes substantial growth continues into Q4 and across the full year. Q4 revenue guidance of $2.649–$2.653 billion implies further sequential growth from Q3. For FY2026, the company raised revenue guidance and its U.S. commercial target, and also lifted adjusted operating income and adjusted free cash flow guidance. Palantir continued to expect GAAP operating income and net income in every quarter of 2026.
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