
VLO · NYSE
Expected to report Jan 28, 2027 — estimated from last year’s reporting date.
Consensus is $19.10 EPS for Dec 2026 across 6 estimates, ranging $13.92 to $22.44.
Valero delivered a sharp year-over-year earnings increase and exceeded expectations: diluted EPS of $23.89 was 12.31% above the $21.28 consensus, while adjusted EPS was $23.90. Revenue of $46.1 billion increased from $32.2 billion in Q3 FY2025 and $44.5 billion in Q2 FY2026. Net income attributable to stockholders reached $6.8 billion, versus $1.1 billion a year ago and $3.7 billion in the prior quarter. The result also reflects a sequential step-up from an already strong Q2, with EPS rising from $12.62.
The defining driver was refining: operating income climbed to $8.8 billion from $1.6 billion a year ago, as refining margin nearly tripled to $10.7 billion. This occurred despite throughput easing to 2.972 million barrels per day from 3.087 million. Renewable diesel also swung to profit, and ethanol improved, but both were much smaller contributors. Cash generation remained strong at $7.3 billion on Valero’s adjusted measure; the company returned cash equal to 52% of that amount, repaid $526 million of maturing notes and finished the quarter with $9.8 billion of cash. The St. Charles FCC optimization project was completed on schedule and within budget.
The refining cycle dominated the quarter. Segment operating income rose to $8.782 billion from $1.610 billion in Q3 FY2025, while adjusted operating income was $8.774 billion. Refining margin increased to $10.730 billion from $3.731 billion, or $39.24 per barrel of throughput versus $13.14. The market backdrop was markedly stronger: Gulf Coast ultra-low-sulfur diesel less Brent averaged $72.27 per barrel versus $21.05 a year earlier, and Gulf Coast CBOB gasoline less Brent averaged $24.08 versus $7.78.
Valero completed the FCC Unit optimization project at its St. Charles refinery during the quarter, on schedule and within budget. The project is operational and is expected to increase capacity for higher-value products, including alkylate and gasoline. Management highlighted the project as part of the refinery’s ability to supply transportation fuels.