
ODFL · NASDAQ-GS
Expected to report Feb 3, 2027 — estimated from last year’s reporting date.
Consensus is $1.50 EPS for Dec 2026 across 8 estimates, ranging $1.47 to $1.52.
ODFL delivered a strong year-over-year quarter, with diluted EPS of $1.65 beating the $1.61 consensus by 2.48%. Revenue increased 13.1% to $1.591 billion, operating income rose 25.4% to $452.6 million and net income grew 26.9% to $343.7 million. Against Q2, revenue advanced about 2.6% from $1.55 billion, while operating income declined about 2.7% from $465.3 million and EPS slipped from $1.68. The year-over-year earnings growth reflected both higher revenue and a 280-basis-point improvement in the operating ratio to 71.5%.
The defining feature was strong yield compensating for nearly flat tonnage: LTL revenue per hundredweight rose 13.3% including fuel and 5.1% excluding it, while tons per day edged down 0.1%. Management described demand as improving, with September tonnage up 1.6% year over year, and guided to fourth-quarter revenue of $1.54 billion to $1.58 billion, above normal seasonality if current trends persist. Margin guidance was more measured: the company expects a sequentially higher fourth-quarter operating ratio of about 73.5%, plus or minus 20 basis points, citing seasonal costs and inflationary pressures. Strong service, available network capacity and continued shareholder returns rounded out the quarter.
LTL services generated $1.577 billion, up 13.1% year over year. Higher revenue per hundredweight was the principal growth driver: it increased 13.3% to $38.40, while the measure excluding fuel surcharges rose 5.1% to $30.25, consistent with ODFL’s disciplined yield management. The fuel-inclusive growth also reflects fuel surcharge movements, rather than base pricing alone.
The operating ratio improved to 71.5% from 74.3% a year ago, and operating income grew faster than revenue. Salaries, wages and benefits declined to 44.3% of revenue from 47.1%, more than offsetting pressure in operating supplies and expenses, which rose to 11.9% from 10.3%, primarily due to diesel and other petroleum-based costs. Overhead improved by 170 basis points, aided by revenue leverage, discretionary-spending controls and lower depreciation expense as the fleet was trimmed. Management said the improvement reflected both better direct-cost performance and overhead leverage.
Service quality remains central to ODFL’s ability to win business and sustain pricing. The company reported 99% on-time service and a 0.1% claims ratio, and was ranked the top national LTL carrier by Mastio for the 17th consecutive year, placing first in 24 of 28 measured categories. Management said customer feedback and bid activity point to market-share opportunities, including some freight potentially shifting from capacity-constrained truckload operators.