
MRK · NYSE
Expected to report Feb 2, 2027 — estimated from last year’s reporting date.
Consensus is $1.83 EPS for Dec 2026 across 5 estimates, ranging $1.73 to $1.96.
Merck delivered $18.085 billion of third-quarter sales, 5% above the year-ago quarter and 9% above Q2. The supplied headline comparison puts EPS at $2.49 against $2.12 consensus, a 17.45% beat. However, the earnings release reports GAAP diluted EPS of $2.04, down from $2.32 a year earlier, and does not reconcile the supplied $2.49 figure. GAAP net income attributable to Merck was $5.065 billion, 12% below last year’s $5.785 billion, but a sharp recovery from the first-half losses: $1.335 billion in Q2 and $4.240 billion in Q1.
Commercially, growth was broad across pharmaceuticals and animal health, but the largest product remained a drag: Keytruda declined 5% to $7.771 billion. Gains in Winrevair, Welireg and Gardasil helped offset that pressure, while Bridion fell 67% to $144 million. The wider year-to-date result remains unusual: sales rose 5% to $50.978 billion, yet Merck posted a $510 million net loss, against $15.291 billion of income in the prior-year period. The release shows year-to-date R&D expense of $26.871 billion versus $11.903 billion, alongside GAAP diluted EPS of -$0.21 versus $6.08. Thus the quarter’s return to profitability did not erase the accumulated first-half losses.
The quarter’s profit recovery followed two consecutive loss-making quarters, while year-over-year GAAP earnings were lower despite higher sales. The EPS expectation comparison needs a basis caveat: the supplied headline reports $2.49 versus $2.12 consensus, but Merck’s release gives GAAP diluted EPS of $2.04 and does not explain the difference.
Revenue rose both year over year and sequentially. Pharmaceuticals supplied most of the growth, while animal health also advanced. Within the pharmaceutical portfolio, growth in several newer or expanding products contrasted with declining Keytruda sales.
Growth was uneven across the portfolio. Keytruda’s decline matters given its scale, while several established products also contracted. In contrast, Winrevair’s rapid expansion and gains in vaccines and specialty medicines provided meaningful offsets.
The year-to-date figures show why a profitable Q3 does not represent a return to the prior-year earnings level. Sales increased, but the company remained modestly loss-making through September after sizable first- and second-quarter losses. The release reports much higher year-to-date R&D expense, without providing a 2026 non-GAAP reconciliation in the supplied material.