
IBM · NYSE
Reports Oct 21, 2026, after the close.
Consensus is $2.90 EPS for Sep 2026 across 6 estimates, ranging $2.78 to $3.12.
IBM’s second quarter was a mixed print: operating EPS of $2.93 matched consensus, while revenue of $17.16 billion grew 1.1% year over year but fell short of management’s expectations. GAAP net income was $2.17 billion, down 1.3% from $2.19 billion a year ago, although it rose sharply from $1.22 billion in Q1; GAAP diluted EPS was $2.27 versus $2.31 a year ago and $1.28 in Q1. Compared with the prior quarter, the sequential improvement largely reflects normal seasonality and the absence of Q1’s lower earnings base rather than a broad acceleration.
The defining issue was a late-quarter spending shift that hurt IBM Z and associated Transaction Processing software. Infrastructure revenue declined 7.4%, with IBM Z down 42%, while Distributed Infrastructure rose 37% as customers prioritized servers, storage and memory. Software still grew 5.1%, supported by Data up 19% and Hybrid Cloud up 11%, and Consulting delivered better profitability despite flat revenue. IBM responded with productivity initiatives and updated full-year revenue guidance to 4%-5% constant-currency growth, while maintaining its roughly $1 billion free-cash-flow growth target. The quarter also highlighted the scale of its acquisition strategy: Confluent cost $11.6 billion and contributed to both software growth and higher non-GAAP adjustments.
IBM’s reported revenue growth was modest and below internal expectations, prompting an updated full-year outlook. The shortfall was concentrated in software’s transactional businesses and Infrastructure, rather than the recurring software base or Consulting.
Software remained the strongest growth engine, but the quarter exposed a split between healthy recurring demand and weaker transactional activity tied to the IBM Z cycle. Management said approximately 80% of software revenue is recurring, while the remaining 20% is predominantly transactional and linked to IBM Z incumbency and enterprise license agreements.
Infrastructure was the principal drag on the quarter. IBM said customers redirected spending toward servers, storage and memory to secure supply ahead of expected price increases, producing a sharp divergence between IBM Z and Distributed Infrastructure.
Consulting was broadly stable on revenue but showed the clearest operating improvement. Demand remained focused on application modernization, data transformation and cybersecurity, while productivity actions improved delivery economics.
IBM generated stronger operating cash flow but lower free cash flow, while its acquisition program continued to reshape the balance sheet and the software portfolio. The company also maintained its shareholder return commitment through the quarterly dividend.