
ELV · NYSE
Expected to report Jan 27, 2027 — estimated from last year’s reporting date.
Consensus is $2.33 EPS for Dec 2026 across 9 estimates, ranging $1.92 to $3.02.
Elevance reported Q3 total revenue of $51.43 billion, up 1.4% from a year ago and about 1.9% from Q2’s $50.47 billion. GAAP diluted EPS of $6.27 was 17.9% above Q3 2025’s $5.32 but below Q2’s $6.71. Adjusted EPS was $6.99, 50% above the supplied $4.66 consensus and 15.9% above the year-ago $6.03; the release attributed $1.85 per share to a net non-operating benefit. The distinction matters: segment operating gain declined 2.0% year over year to $1.27 billion, and the operating margin eased 10 basis points to 2.5%.
The operating picture mixed improved medical costs with expense pressure and uneven segments. The benefit expense ratio improved 70 basis points to 90.6%, while the adjusted operating expense ratio increased 90 basis points to 11.3% amid targeted investments. Carelon’s operating gain rose 17% to $908 million, but Health Benefits’ fell 27.5% to $436 million. Membership was down 1.1% year over year. Elevance raised its 2026 outlook to at least $22.00 GAAP EPS, $29.00 adjusted EPS and $6.5 billion of operating cash flow. It also reiterated a target of at least 12% adjusted EPS growth in 2027 from a $26.75 baseline.
The headline beat was stronger on adjusted than on GAAP earnings. Adjusted diluted EPS of $6.99 exceeded the supplied $4.66 consensus by 50% and increased 15.9% from $6.03 a year earlier. GAAP diluted EPS was $6.27, up from $5.32 a year ago but down from $6.71 in Q2. The release said results included a net non-operating benefit of $1.85 per share. Net investment income rose 65.9% year over year to $1.04 billion, while net losses on financial instruments were $48 million versus $1 million a year ago.
Total revenue was $51.43 billion, 1.4% above Q3 2025’s $50.71 billion; the sequential comparison was about 1.9% above Q2’s $50.47 billion. Operating revenue, which excludes investment income and financial-instrument results, was $50.44 billion, up 0.7% year over year. Higher premium yields, CarelonRx product revenue and service fees supported growth, partly offset by lower Medicare Advantage, Medicaid and employer risk-based membership. Reportable-segment operating gain was $1.27 billion, down 2.0% year over year, and operating margin was 2.5% versus 2.6%.
Medical membership was 44.9 million at quarter-end, down 487,000, or 1.1%, from a year earlier and 67,000 from Q2. Medicaid membership fell 425,000 year over year to 8.22 million, while Medicare Advantage declined 347,000 to 1.90 million. Employer Group risk-based membership was down 250,000 to 3.37 million. Growth in commercial fee-based membership, up 603,000 to 27.61 million, partly offset those declines. The company attributed the broader reduction to Medicaid eligibility redeterminations and deliberate repositioning in Medicare Advantage, among other membership decreases.
CMS told Elevance in July that it had completed the required steps relating to the agency’s February notice on historical Medicare Advantage risk-adjustment data, that sanctions would not be imposed and that the enforcement process was closed. The separate financial exposure remains unresolved: after a $342 million payment in May against the original $935 million accrual, $593 million remained accrued at September 30. Management said the eventual liability could be about $320 million below or above the original accrual. The original accrual is excluded from adjusted earnings and accounts for $4.28 per share in the company’s 2026 GAAP-to-adjusted EPS guidance reconciliation.