
CB · NYSE
Expected to report Feb 2, 2027 — estimated from last year’s reporting date.
Consensus is $7.26 EPS for Dec 2026 across 11 estimates, ranging $6.22 to $7.81.
Chubb’s September-quarter result beat the supplied EPS consensus: $7.66 versus $6.53, a 17.3% surprise. The supplement classifies $7.66 as core operating EPS; diluted EPS based on Chubb net income was $7.30. Chubb net income of $2.844 billion was 1.5% above the year-ago quarter’s $2.801 billion but slightly below Q2’s $2.854 billion. Core operating income was $2.980 billion, down 2.2% year over year and 1.6% sequentially. Premiums continued to grow, but the headline P&C underwriting comparison was pressured by a heavier catastrophe quarter.
P&C underwriting income declined to $2.061 billion from $2.259 billion as catastrophe losses rose to $705 million from $285 million. Favorable prior-period development of $511 million partly offset those losses, while current-year underwriting excluding catastrophes remained solid: income rose to $2.255 billion and the ex-cat combined ratio was 82.6%, versus 82.5% a year earlier. Net premiums written grew 1.9% to $15.143 billion, and adjusted investment income increased 6.3% to $1.888 billion. These gains were offset in part by a $482 million adjusted realized investment loss, versus a $331 million gain last year. Segment results were mixed, with stronger North America Personal P&C and lower income in Commercial P&C and Overseas General.
The main pressure on the quarter’s P&C result was catastrophe activity, not deterioration in the ex-cat current accident year measure. The reported combined ratio increased year over year, while favorable prior-period development cushioned the impact of catastrophe losses.
Premium growth was positive but measured in aggregate. Personal lines and Life grew, while commercial P&C net written premiums were nearly flat year over year; earned premiums grew faster than written premiums.
Higher recurring investment income supported core earnings, but did not fully offset softer P&C underwriting and weaker realized investment results. The distinction between core operating EPS and diluted EPS from net income is relevant to interpreting the supplied consensus comparison.
The segment picture was uneven. Personal P&C delivered the clearest year-over-year improvement, while Commercial P&C and Overseas General reported lower income; elevated catastrophe losses weighed on both commercial lines.
Life income improved year over year alongside growth in international life premiums and deposits. Book value excluding AOCI advanced sequentially, while reported book value per share declined as AOCI became more negative.