
BX · NYSE
Expected to report Jan 28, 2027 — estimated from last year’s reporting date.
Consensus is $1.71 EPS for Dec 2026 across 9 estimates, ranging $1.54 to $1.85.
Blackstone’s third quarter combined a modest beat on the supplied per-share consensus with stronger recurring fee earnings and a year-over-year decline in distributable earnings. DE was $1.72 billion, or $1.32 per share, 4.8% above the $1.26 consensus; the release identifies that $1.32 as DE per share, while GAAP diluted EPS was $0.83. Revenue of $3.06 billion was nearly flat against $3.09 billion a year ago but down from $5.04 billion in Q2. GAAP net income rose to $1.27 billion from $1.24 billion year over year and $1.23 billion sequentially. DE declined 9% year over year and 13% from Q2, as lower net realizations offset recurring earnings growth.
The defining positives were FRE of $1.57 billion, up 6% year over year, and $63.3 billion of inflows, which helped lift AUM 10% to $1.368 trillion. Performance was uneven: infrastructure and several private equity strategies posted gains, while opportunistic real estate fell. Management pointed to a significant Q4 step-up in net realizations and expects double-digit base management fee growth in 2027. The quarter therefore showed growing scale and recurring fee capacity, but also the continuing sensitivity of DE to the timing of exits and performance realizations.
FRE increased 6% year over year to $1.57 billion, or $1.26 per share, as net management and advisory fees rose 6% to $2.16 billion and fee-related performance revenues increased 19% to $540 million. Compensation and operating expenses also grew, limiting FRE growth. DE was $1.72 billion, or $1.32 per share, down from $1.89 billion and $1.52 per share a year earlier; compared with Q2, DE fell from $1.98 billion and $1.52 per share. Lower net realizations were the principal drag. LTM FRE was $6.4 billion, while LTM DE was $7.7 billion.
Inflows of $63.3 billion in the quarter brought LTM inflows to $271.6 billion. Total AUM rose 10% year over year to $1.368 trillion, and fee-earning AUM increased 9% to $989.7 billion. Perpetual capital AUM reached $562.3 billion, up 12%; $469.5 billion of it was fee-earning, equal to 47% of fee-earning AUM. Credit & Insurance led quarterly inflows with $35.8 billion, followed by Private Equity at $12.6 billion and Multi-Asset Investing at $8.6 billion. Deployment was $30.1 billion, with another $17.0 billion committed but not yet deployed; realizations were $33.1 billion.
Net realizations were $331.5 million, down 34% year over year, and total segment DE declined 4% to $1.90 billion. This followed management’s prior indication that Q3 realizations would be lower. The accrued performance balance, a source of potential future realizations, was $7.3 billion, or $5.84 per share, down 3% from Q2 but up 12% year over year after $655 million of net distributions. Management said Q4 net realizations should rise significantly: carry realizations on sales under contract alone were expected to exceed Q3’s total net realizations. It also expects double-digit year-over-year base management fee growth in 2027, citing new drawdown-fund fees, expansion in perpetual strategies, credit and insurance growth, and BXMA momentum.
Performance supported fundraising across much of the platform, though real estate remained mixed. Infrastructure appreciated 6.4% in Q3 and 28.9% over the LTM; corporate private equity gained 2.8% and 14.7%, respectively. Tactical Opportunities returned 2.2% for the quarter and Secondaries 4.3%. In Credit & Insurance, private credit returned 2.6% gross and 1.8% net in the quarter, while liquid credit returned 1.5% gross and 1.4% net. Opportunistic real estate declined 3.2% in the quarter and 4.0% LTM, while Core+ appreciated 1.6% and 4.3%. Management attributed weakness in opportunistic real estate to higher valuation cap rates, partly offset by leasing momentum and hedges.
The quarterly dividend was set at $1.12 per share, payable November 9 to holders of record November 2. Dividends and repurchases totaled $1.5 billion for the quarter and $6.7 billion over the LTM; the firm repurchased 0.2 million shares in Q3 and had $1.6 billion of authorization remaining. At September 30, Blackstone reported $13.2 billion of cash, corporate treasury and other investments, and $23.5 billion of cash and net investments, or $18.91 per share. Outstanding debt at par was $13.1 billion.