
BNY · NYSE
Expected to report Jan 12, 2027 — estimated from last year’s reporting date.
Consensus is $2.37 EPS for Dec 2026 across 7 estimates, ranging $2.34 to $2.45.
BNY delivered a strong year-over-year quarter, though earnings and revenue were slightly below Q2’s elevated levels. Adjusted diluted EPS of $2.37 topped the $2.26 consensus by 4.87%; GAAP EPS was $2.34, up 24% from $1.88 a year earlier and below Q2’s $2.45. Revenue rose 12% year over year to $5.676 billion, essentially flat sequentially, while net income increased 15% year over year to $1.687 billion but declined from $1.792 billion in Q2. The central story was broad-based fee growth, supplemented by stronger NII, with 390 basis points of positive operating leverage and a 29% return on tangible common equity.
Investment services fees advanced 15%, reflecting new business, client activity and higher market values; NII increased 15% year over year as securities reinvested at higher yields, despite deposit margin compression and a seasonal sequential dip. Management raised its full-year 2026 outlook to nearly 500 basis points of positive operating leverage, on revenue growth around the midpoint of 12%–13% and expense growth around the midpoint of 7%–8%, excluding notable items. The outlook assumes a broadly constructive environment and remains market-dependent. AUC/A rose 10% to $63.4 trillion, while the quarter’s $1.373 billion of capital returns came alongside a preliminary CET1 ratio of 10.9%, down from 11.0% in Q2.
Revenue growth outpaced expense growth, expanding profitability year over year, although both revenue and earnings eased from Q2. Fee and other revenue was $4.253 billion, up 11% year over year; NII was $1.423 billion, up 15%. Noninterest expense increased 8% to $3.489 billion, with management attributing more than three-quarters of the increase to revenue-related costs and the remainder mainly to investment, partly offset by efficiency savings. The result was $2.186 billion of pretax income and a 38.5% pretax margin, compared with $1.845 billion and 35.6% a year earlier.
Fee growth was broad-based, and asset totals benefited from higher markets as well as client inflows and new mandates. Investment services fees increased 15% year over year to $2.973 billion. Investment management and performance fees rose 3% to $803 million, primarily reflecting higher market values, partly offset by AUM flow mix. Foreign-exchange revenue increased 19% to $198 million on higher client volumes. Firmwide AUC/A reached $63.4 trillion, up 10% year over year; AUM was $2.2 trillion, up 2%, with higher market values partly offset by outflows and the stronger dollar.
NII rose 15% year over year to $1.423 billion, but fell 2% from Q2’s $1.446 billion. The annual increase reflected higher yields as investment securities were reinvested and balance-sheet growth, partly offset by deposit margin compression. Sequentially, the main drag was seasonally lower deposits: average deposits declined 1%, including a 1% decrease in interest-bearing and a 3% decrease in noninterest-bearing deposits. Net interest margin was 1.43%, versus 1.45% in Q2 and 1.38% a year earlier.
The quarter paired substantial shareholder distributions with lower preliminary capital ratios: CET1 was 10.9%, down from 11.0% in Q2, and the Tier 1 leverage ratio was 5.7%, versus 5.9%. Management said capital returns and a decline in accumulated other comprehensive income contributed to the sequential capital decline. It described its Tier 1 leverage target range as 5.5%–6% and said capital and liquidity remained within its framework.